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BETSiE Says SA has a 0.15% Chance of Winning

Bettingexpert’s supercomputer, BETSiE, has run it’s simulations for the 2023 FIFA Women’s World Cup to determine the winning probabibilites for each nation.

The supercomputer simulated the World Cup, 20,000 times. It took into account previous World Cup results, qualification results, Euros results, and projected the 2023 FIFA World Cup based on pre-tournament expectations and xG earned both for and against.

As per the 20,000 simulations, reigning champions USA (the USWNT) are favourites with a tournament winning probability of 22.70 percent.

Reigning European Champions, England, are second-favourites with the Lionesses having a tournament winning probability of 15.87 percent.

Hosts Australia are sixth-favourites with a tournament winning probability of 5.97 percent.

Here’s the full list of the nations and their winning probabilities as per BETSiE’s simulations:

NATION

TOURNAMENT WIN PROBABILITY

USA

22.70%

England

15.87%

Spain

11.77%

Germany

10.00%

France

7.38%

Australia

5.97%

Sweden

4.95%

Netherlands

3.51%

Brazil

3.22%

Japan

2.61%

Canada

2.38%

Norway

2.06%

Denmark

1.52%

Italy

1.09%

South Korea

0.86%

China

0.76%

Portugal

0.64%

New Zealand

0.51%

Argentina

0.41%

Colombia

0.39%

Switzerland

0.31%

Ireland

0.31%

Jamaica

0.18%

South Africa

0.15%

Nigeria

0.15%

Zambia

0.08%

Haiti

0.08%

Costa Rica

0.04%

Morocco

0.04%

Vietnam

0.04%

Panama

0.02%

Philippines

0.02%
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Comments

  1. In 1877 Charlie Bannerman from Australia scored the first century in a Test match.

  2. South Africa also has a women’s national cricket team—they’re currently 6th in the rankings!