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BETSiE Says SA has a 0.15% Chance of Winning

Bettingexpert’s supercomputer, BETSiE, has run it’s simulations for the 2023 FIFA Women’s World Cup to determine the winning probabibilites for each nation.

The supercomputer simulated the World Cup, 20,000 times. It took into account previous World Cup results, qualification results, Euros results, and projected the 2023 FIFA World Cup based on pre-tournament expectations and xG earned both for and against.

As per the 20,000 simulations, reigning champions USA (the USWNT) are favourites with a tournament winning probability of 22.70 percent.

Reigning European Champions, England, are second-favourites with the Lionesses having a tournament winning probability of 15.87 percent.

Hosts Australia are sixth-favourites with a tournament winning probability of 5.97 percent.

Here’s the full list of the nations and their winning probabilities as per BETSiE’s simulations:

NATION

TOURNAMENT WIN PROBABILITY

USA

22.70%

England

15.87%

Spain

11.77%

Germany

10.00%

France

7.38%

Australia

5.97%

Sweden

4.95%

Netherlands

3.51%

Brazil

3.22%

Japan

2.61%

Canada

2.38%

Norway

2.06%

Denmark

1.52%

Italy

1.09%

South Korea

0.86%

China

0.76%

Portugal

0.64%

New Zealand

0.51%

Argentina

0.41%

Colombia

0.39%

Switzerland

0.31%

Ireland

0.31%

Jamaica

0.18%

South Africa

0.15%

Nigeria

0.15%

Zambia

0.08%

Haiti

0.08%

Costa Rica

0.04%

Morocco

0.04%

Vietnam

0.04%

Panama

0.02%

Philippines

0.02%
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  1. Sport Trivia: At the 2007 Cricket World cup, this South African batsman made history when he became the first player to hit six sixes in an over in a ODI match. Answer: Herschelle Gibbs. Herschelle is one of the Protea\’s best batsmen with over 5000 Test runs and over 6000 ODI runs. He is also an excellent fielder, and bowls in first class matches. When Herschelle is on form there is no stopping him, with many centuries and half centuries to his name. However, he also has a fair share of ducks and many matches where he has failed to make 10 runs.

  2. South Africa’s triumph in the 1995 Rugby World Cup, held in South Africa, was a symbol of unity for the nation, with the iconic image of Nelson Mandela wearing a Springbok jersey while handing the trophy to captain Francois Pienaar. This event was immortalized in the 2009 film “Invictus.”