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South Africa’s Automotive Market Accelerates to 11-Year High as Value Brands and Younger Buyers Drive Momentum

Location: Business
  • 111 697 new passenger vehicles sold in Q3 – up 23.4% year-on-year, the highest quarterly total since 2014
  • Chinese brands captured a record 15%+ market share, growing almost nine times faster than the market average
  • Passenger-vehicle exports rebounded 4.1% year-on-year, powered by a 63.7% September surge to a six-year high

South Africa’s automotive market shifted into top gear in the third quarter of 2025, posting its strongest sales performance in more than a decade as greater macro-economic stability, easing interest rates and a firmer rand supported renewed consumer demand. According to TransUnion’s Q3 2025 Mobility Insights Report, total new-passenger-vehicle sales reached 111 697 units, 23.4% higher year-on-year (YoY), while new vehicle inflation dropped to a record low of 1.5% (since tracking began in 2008), creating one of the most competitive pricing environments in recent memory.

“Affordability and choice are redefining South Africa’s automotive landscape,” says Lee Naik, CEO TransUnion Africa. “Consumers are seeking greater value and flexibility and manufacturers that meet this demand through innovation and pricing discipline are winning the race for growth.”

Affordability Drives Record Growth and Market Realignment

Although established OEMs returned to positive growth in Q2 and Q3 2025, the market’s transformation is being led by Chinese manufacturers expanding nearly nine times faster than the overall market, with YoY growth of 89% in Q2 and 88% in Q3.

Their combined share has quadrupled since 2021 to more than 15%, powered by competitively priced, feature-rich SUVs and sedans that appeal to cost-conscious yet tech-savvy buyers. Top-performing value brands YoY included JAC (67% volume increase), GWM (54%), Mahindra (42%) and Chery (35%), while BMW (27%) proved that premium marques can still thrive by combining desirability with strong product pipelines.

“This isn’t a short-term surge, it’s a structural reset,” adds Naik. “The success of value-driven models shows how affordability, technology and trust are now the true levers of brand growth in South Africa.”

Younger and High-Income Buyers Sustain Demand

Despite surging sales, TransUnion’s recent Consumer Pulse Survey shows a modest easing in purchase intent, with the share of respondents likely to buy a vehicle in the next three months declining from 19% in Q2 to 17% in Q3. The report suggests that current sales momentum is being driven primarily by pent-up demand, dealer incentives and fleet renewals, rather than broad-based consumer confidence.

Purchase behaviour also remains sharply segmented across both age and income groups. Younger consumers continue to lead intent, with 21% of Gen Z and 19% of Millennials planning to buy a vehicle in the next three months, compared to 13% of Gen X and 8% of Baby Boomers. From an income perspective, high-income households earning R200 000 or more per month show the strongest intent at 34%, while middle- and lower-income consumers remain significantly more cautious in their purchasing outlook.

Electrification: A Tale of Price and Generation

Internal-combustion vehicles (ICE) remain the single largest category in consumer purchase intent, accounting for 42% of consumer preference, while interest in hybrid (39%) and plug-in hybrid (24%) models is steadily increasing. The shift toward electrification is most pronounced among Gen Z consumers, with 55% favouring hybrids and 32% considering battery-electric vehicles (BEVs).

This generational shift toward greener technology is evident among high-income buyers, with 75% considering plug-in hybrids, driven primarily by their perceived affordability. In contrast, preference for ICE vehicles remains largely affordability-based among lower-income segments. Higher budgets within affluent households enable greater consideration of hybrid electric (HEV), plug-in hybrid (PHEV), and battery electric vehicles (BEV), reinforcing an emerging “electrification divide.” This dynamic presents a significant opportunity for OEMs and financiers to tailor product offerings and financing strategies to meet the distinct needs of different age and income segments.

Connected Cars: Data Becomes the New Engine

Q3’s Mobility Insights Report special feature, The Connected Road, explores how connected-car technology is transforming mobility. Connectivity is now standard in most post-2015 vehicles, enabling real-time navigation, predictive maintenance, remote access, and advanced safety systems. Yet global data warns of “connectivity fatigue”: Over three quarters (76%) of drivers internationally don’t subscribe to connected services, mainly due to cost.

Naik says: “South Africa has a chance to leapfrog global missteps by focusing on value-adding applications, safer driving, cheaper insurance and smarter maintenance rather than gimmicks.”

Exports Rebound and Dealer Confidence Climbs

Passenger-vehicle unit exports rose 4.1% YoY after a steep Q2 contraction, driven by a 63.7% September surge that lifted shipments to a six-year high. Meanwhile, the RMB/BER Motor Traders Confidence Index advanced to 54, marking its second net-positive reading of 2025 and notably placing it above the neutral 50-point mark, which signals growing dealer optimism amid sustained sales momentum and improving export conditions.

Balancing Value and Transformation

The convergence of affordability, segmentation, electrification, and connectivity signals a pivotal shift in the automotive industry. “The future belongs to brands and financiers that master both the value-driven present and the connected, electrified future,” concludes Naik. “Data-led insight will be the bridge that connects today’s strategies with tomorrow’s innovation

Read the full TransUnion South Africa Q3 2025 Mobility Insights Report here.

Read moreSouth Africa’s Automotive Market Accelerates to 11-Year High as Value Brands and Younger Buyers Drive Momentum

Nearly 7 in 10 South Africans Remain Optimistic About Finances Amid Rising Costs and Fraud Risks

Location: Business
  • 68% of South Africans are optimistic about their household finances in the next 12 months, despite persistent inflationary pressures
  • 75% expect their household income to increase over the next year, but 36% expect to be unable to meet their bill and loan payments in full
  • Younger generations show the strongest engagement with credit, with Gen Z and Millennials most likely to use buy now, pay later (BNPL) services.59% of consumers said they were targeted by fraud recently, with money/gift card scams the most reported scheme

South Africans are managing cost-of-living challenges with a blend of resilience and caution, according to TransUnion’s Q3 2025 Consumer Pulse Study*. The findings reveal that while inflation and affordability remain top concerns, many consumers are maintaining financial optimism while adopting protective behaviours, especially in credit usage and cyber security.

“South Africans are signalling confidence, but it’s a confidence shaped by awareness of risk,” said Ayesha Hatea, director of research and consulting at TransUnion. “Consumers are balancing optimism with caution, adjusting spending habits, making informed credit decisions, and staying vigilant to fraud.”

Financial Confidence, but Rising Costs

Nearly seven in 10 (68%) of South Africans are optimistic about their household finances over the next year, while 75% expect their income to increase during that period. However, this optimism exists alongside strain: 36% of consumers say they expect to be unable to pay at least one of their current bills or loans in full. South Africans were concerned about the impacts of price increases, most particularly for groceries (82%), utilities (60%), fuel for cars (52%) and medical care (52%).

Younger Generations Shape Credit Behaviour

Generational differences continue to define financial habits. Nearly half of Gen Z (18-28 years old, 48%) and Millennials (29-44 years old, 43%) reported they’ll apply for new credit or refinance existing credit in the next year, compared to far lower intent among Gen X (45-60 years old) and Baby Boomers (61-79 years old).

Younger consumers are also driving the adoption of buy now, pay later (BNPL) services with 55% and 59% of Gen Z and Millennials saying they’ve used BNPL in the last 12 months compared to 39% and 19% of Gen X and Baby Boomers, respectively. Overall, 15% of South Africans who have used BNPL in the last year said they did so to afford a larger purchase (furniture, appliances or cars), highlighting both its appeal and potential risks in a high-inflation environment.

Cautious Credit Intent Amid Affordability Pressures

While the vast majority of South Africans (93%) say that access to credit and lending products is important to be able to achieve their financial goals, many remain hesitant to take on new financial products. In fact, 38% said they’ll apply for new credit or refinance existing credit in the next year. Credit awareness among South African consumers remains strong, with 70% agreeing that access to credit can unlock new opportunities and improve quality of life.

This sentiment aligns closely with TransUnion’s financial inclusion priorities, particularly as alternative data becomes a more prominent tool in assessing creditworthiness. The study reveals that consumers are increasingly aware of how credit affects their daily lives, which highlights the importance of expanding access to credit through inclusive data strategies, especially for those traditionally excluded from formal financial systems.

Among those planning to apply for new or refinance existing credit in the next year, unsecured credit products such as personal loans (30%), new credit cards (29%) and BNPL services (22%) are the most popular credit types they said they’ll apply for. In contrast, a lower percentage said they’ll apply for secured credit options like a new car loan or lease (18%) or home loans (16%), highlighting a cautious approach to larger, long-term borrowing.

Nearly Two-Thirds Report Being Targeted with Fraud

Fraud attempts and scams remained high in Q3: 59% of South Africans said they were targeted by email, online, phone call or text messaging fraud in the last three months, the same percentage as Q2. Among those who said they were targeted, the most reported scheme was money/gift card scams (37%), with phishing (28%) and smishing (28%) also widespread.

With the persistence of attacks, consumers are proactively taking action. In fact, 54% of all surveyed said they changed passwords, 35% checked their credit report for any signs of fraudulent activity against their profile, and 27% modified their login to secure login without passwords options or added multi-factor authentication in the last 60 days in response to cyber security concerns.

“Fraudsters are evolving, and consumers are trying to keep pace,” said Hatea. “This is why education and accessible protection tools are so critical in building long-term trust in digital engagement.”

Consumers can get their free annual credit report from TransUnion here.

* TransUnion’s online survey of 966 South African adults was conducted June 17– 31, 2025.

Read moreNearly 7 in 10 South Africans Remain Optimistic About Finances Amid Rising Costs and Fraud Risks

Creditworthy and Misunderstood: New Data Challenges Lender Assumptions About Young Consumers

Location: Business

South Africa’s younger credit-eligible consumers present significant growth opportunities for lenders if they can overcome persistent market assumptions that currently shape risk appetite and acquisition strategies.

These assumptions include that younger consumers do not value credit, they are disengaged from the credit market, are irresponsible with debt, have low appetite for new credit, lack loyalty to lenders, and struggle to meet payment obligations.

They could also partly explain South Africa’s low 13% credit card market penetration among both Millennials (aged 29 to 44) and Gen Z (aged 18 to 28). Furthermore, Gen Z consumers adopt credit cards and personal loans at half the rate that Millennials did at the same age, suggesting limited growth for lenders as these consumers age.

“Our research suggests systemic barriers to credit access in South Africa, rather than a lack of demand,” said Ayesha Hatea, director of research and consulting at TransUnion South Africa. “It also highlights that lenders have opportunities to innovate in product design, onboarding and education to empower these consumers to manage everyday expenses and unexpected financial needs as they progress towards achieving key life milestones.”

To challenge perceptions about younger consumers, TransUnion South Africa conducted a focused study[1] to test lenders’ perceptions, analysing participation, engagement and repayment behaviour among the country’s 4.3 million credit-active population aged 18 to 30.

Myth 1: Younger consumers don’t value credit

More than six in 10 (62%) younger consumers believe that access to credit is important to achieve their financial goals[2], with 76% saying that credit can give them access to new opportunities that could lead to a better quality of life. Younger consumers’ favourable perception of credit exceeds that of older consumers, 57% of whom believe access is important, and 71% of whom believe that access to credit can unlock new opportunities. However, less than a quarter (24%) of young consumers view credit as a risk to prudent financial management.

“Younger consumers increasingly see credit as a way to achieve their financial goals – even more so than older consumers,” Hatea said. “With most disagreeing that applying for credit signals poor financial management, it’s clear that opportunities exist for segment-focused products supported by financial literacy initiatives.”

Myth 2: Younger consumers are disengaged and don’t participate in the credit market

Nearly four in 10 (39%) young consumers feel that they have sufficient access to credit and lending products, with 49% believing that they would be approved for a credit product if they needed one.

It’s worth noting that, over time, consumers’ choice of credit product shifts. Reviewing credit card originations across a six-year period showed similar trends across time: 2% of 18 year old credit active consumers hold a credit card, compared to 19% of 30 year olds. Their participation in secured credit products increases with age, reaching parity with the general population by 30 and reflecting life stage realities like income, affordability and asset ownership, rather than disengagement.

“These shifts show that young consumers are engaged with the credit market, particularly with unsecured products, but their participation evolves across product types and life stages,” Hatea said.

Myth 3: Younger consumers are irresponsible in leveraging debt

Credit utilisation and average balances are well aligned with risk-based access that improves with age. At age 21, 95% of consumers are classified as subprime, dropping to 74% by age 30, reflecting a maturing credit profile.

Despite limited access, younger borrowers demonstrate measured usage: the average credit card balance at age 21 is R11,000, rising to R24,000 by age 30, while utilisation among near-prime consumers increases from 58% to 78% over the same age range.

“These trends highlight responsible engagement with credit and clearly refute the myth that younger consumers overextend their credit exposure, or are reckless with credit,” Hatea said. “As young consumers gain access to larger loan amounts, they move into better risk categories, reflecting greater lender trust in recognition of responsible repayment behaviour.”

Myth 4: Younger consumers have a low appetite for credit, and lack loyalty to lenders

While one third (33%) of the general population intends to apply for new credit within the next year, this increases to 45% for Gen Z consumers. Additionally, 36% of these consumers inquired about new credit over the six years studies, compared to 28% of all consumers. However, only 3.4% of younger consumers return to their first lender for new credit – similar to the 3.6% average across all consumers.

“The data shows that younger consumers do indeed have appetite for credit, while revealing that South African consumers in general are not particularly loyal to their credit providers,” Hatea said. “To build loyalty and retain younger consumers, lenders should invest in early-stage experiences, personalised engagement, and relevant products that build lasting relationships.”

Myth 5: Younger consumes struggle to keep up with their payment obligations

Interestingly, younger consumers show significantly lower risk of delinquency at 30 days past due (DPD) in the first year after opening credit cards, although this rises as they get older: there was a 17% delinquency rate among near prime 18 to 22 year olds, while 30 year olds displayed a 24% delinquency rate.

However, for non-bank loans and bank loans, younger consumers (18 to 24 years old) show slightly higher delinquency rates than older consumers, although younger consumers, especially those aged 23 to 25, perform better than the industry average. This indicates that lender type influences delinquency outcomes, and that younger borrowers may respond differently to the structure, support, or perception of a lender’s credit.

“Younger consumers are effectively managing their loans when compared to industry averages across most products,” said Hatea. “They’re not broadly higher risk, but they may be more vulnerable in certain lending contexts, particularly non-bank personal loans, where product design, support, or affordability may not be well aligned to their needs. Higher delinquency rates on non-bank personal loans can be addressed through early default detection tools.

“By focusing on education, wallet growth, loyalty, alternative data to measure risk, and proactive risk management, lenders can support younger consumers and drive long-term, sustainable growth among these consumers and in the broader credit market,” she said. “Well-managed credit can also be a catalyst for broader economic growth in South Africa.”

[1] TransUnion South Africa conducted a focused study to test lenders’ perceptions of consumers aged 18 to 30, analysing participation, engagement and repayment behaviour among the country’s credit-active population in this age group. Data was studied across four time frames (September in 2018, 2022, 2023 and 2024), and included age, risk score, open products in wallet, credit lines, average balances by product and credit utilisation at commencement of the study, new products opened, line assignments and opening loan amounts for six months, and delinquency rates on newly opened products for 12 months. These were compared to overall market averages to evaluate gaps and opportunities.

[2] According to TransUnion’s Q2 2025 Consumer Pulse Survey of 922 adults aged 18 or older, residing in South Africa conducted May 5–25, 2025 by TransUnion in partnership with third-party research provider, Dynata.

Read moreCreditworthy and Misunderstood: New Data Challenges Lender Assumptions About Young Consumers

TransUnion Study Reveals Key Insights Into South Africa’s FinTech Borrowers as Market Poised for Growth

Location: Business
  • TransUnion analysis reveals actionable insights for FinTech lenders seeking to navigate market complexities to achieve growth targets
  • FinTech lending is not the main gateway to financial inclusion, with most consumers choosing a clothing account as their first credit product
  • FinTech borrowers are loyal when it comes to subsequent products, but FinTech lenders are lower in consumers’ payment hierarchy than other lender types

TransUnion’s latest research into South Africa’s FinTech lending market reveals critical insights into borrower behaviour, loyalty and risk based on an analysis of 4.3 million South Africa consumers. The study highlights patterns that present both opportunities and challenges when navigating a rapidly digitising credit ecosystem.

South Africa’s FinTech sector is undergoing rapid transformation, signalling a major shift in how consumers will engage with credit in the next five years, and beyond. As digital adoption accelerates, lenders will need to adapt their approach to South African consumers if they’re to attract, retain and grow relationships with digitally engaged borrowers.

Emerging FinTechs are offering diverse solutions such as buy now, pay later (BNPL) loans with interest free payments, flexible financing for small and medium enterprises, point-of-sale credit and insurance coverage. Financial services are now more accessible than ever before. However, it’s essential that the lenders behind these solutions understand who is using them, how they engage with credit, and whether borrowers’ loyalty can help drive sustainable growth.

“As competition intensifies and regulatory frameworks evolve, lenders must go beyond product innovation and develop a deeper understanding of consumer behaviour,” said Ayesha Hatea, director of research and consulting at TransUnion South Africa. “Our study offers a data-driven lens into the FinTech borrower profile, helping lenders build loyalty, manage risk, and drive inclusion.”

TransUnion analysed South Africans who held at least one open FinTech credit obligation in Q4 2024, including long-term personal loans, short-term personal loans and credit cards, to learn more about the consumers driving growth in the sector. The study examined risk profiles, delinquency trends, product breadth, and loyalty patterns among FinTech borrowers. Further, the study compared those characteristics to similar-risk consumers using traditional lender products only (non-FinTech borrowers[1]), providing a deeper understanding of growth opportunities for South Africa’s credit market.

Five Themes Shaping FinTech Lending Strategy

1.     FinTechs are not yet the main gateway to financial inclusion.

Despite South Africa’s high mobile penetration[2], 69% of New-to-Credit consumers – those with no prior reported credit history – enter the market via retail accounts, with clothing accounts being the most common first product. FinTechs have an opportunity to reposition themselves as enablers of financial inclusion by partnering with retailers and mobile ecosystems to reach underserved segments.

2.     FinTech borrowers are concentrated in below prime risk tiers[3].

While many FinTech borrowers have experience managing credit, 95% of FinTech borrowers with 0–1 month loans are in below prime risk tiers, compared to 29% for bank borrowers and 69% for non-bank lender borrowers. For 2–12 month loans, 94% of FinTech borrowers are below prime, in contrast to 58% for banks and 50% for non-banks. This highlights greater risk exposure among the FinTech borrower base and suggests that FinTech lenders could benefit from leveraging trended and alternative data to better predict repayment risk and reduce delinquency rates, particularly among below-prime borrowers.

3.     FinTech borrowers are not all underserved.

Among 0–1 month term borrowers, 44% of FinTech consumers already hold two or three credit products and 27% hold four or more, debunking the assumption that FinTech borrowers have limited access to credit. Additionally, more than 56% of FinTech personal loan borrowers hold credit products with non-FinTech lenders. These multi-lender relationships underscore the need for lenders to view borrowing patterns holistically and better understand the reasons why borrowers may be seeking credit from different lender types, in order to develop strategies for capturing more of their customers’ wallets.

4.     FinTech borrowers underperform on repayments.

While there are no material differences by lender type for longer-term loans, there are significant differences for 0-1 month loans. This is an important consideration as these shorter-term loans are more likely to be used by borrowers earlier in their credit journeys when they are potentially more financially vulnerable. After controlling for borrower risk score, delinquency rates (consumers 2+ months in arrears on a loan) were highest among FinTech borrowers: The consumer-level delinquencies were 74% for 0–1 month loans from FinTechs compared to lower rates for bank loans (53%) and non-bank lender loans (53%), underscoring the need for enhanced risk management strategies tailored to the FinTech segment.

5.     FinTech borrowers are loyal to FinTech lenders

TransUnion’s research provides compelling evidence of borrower loyalty within the FinTech lending ecosystem. Among consumers who originated a 0–1 month personal loan, 65% opened another 0–1 month loan within 12 months, and 93% of those chose a FinTech lender. More than one fifth (21%) of these borrowers progressed to a 2–12 month loan, with 80% remaining with FinTech providers.

Among consumers who started with a 2–12 month personal loan, 95% opened another 2–12 month loan, with 60% choosing a FinTech lender. In addition, 85% of these borrowers also opened a 0–1 month loan, and 38% did so with FinTech lenders. These patterns demonstrate a strong preference among borrowers to remain within the FinTech category, even as they take loans over longer time periods. This loyalty presents a strategic opportunity for FinTech lenders to deepen relationships through personalised engagement, targeted product offerings, and proactive risk management.

However, loyalty in product originations does not necessarily translate into repayment prioritisation. When consumers hold loans with both FinTech and non-FinTech lenders, they tend to prioritise repayments to traditional institutions. Among consumers with 2–12 term personal loans from both FinTech and non-FinTech non-bank lenders, delinquency measured as 1+ month in arrears was 33% for FinTechs, compared to 26% for non-FinTech non-bank lenders. Similarly, for those with loans from both FinTechs and banks, delinquency was 30% for FinTechs versus 28% for banks.

The takeaway for lenders is that while FinTech borrowers are loyal in terms of repeat borrowing, they may deprioritise FinTech repayments when under financial pressure. This highlights the need for FinTech lenders to strengthen their engagement strategies, build trust, and implement early intervention tools to improve repayment outcomes and long-term value.

“If lenders are to benefit from the anticipated growth in the FinTech lending market, it’s essential that they offer financial literacy and awareness education to help consumers understand how responsible credit use can support their financial goals. Once consumers have opened FinTech-issued products, lenders can activate lifestyle triggers to anticipate consumer progression so that they can deliver timely, relevant engagement to drive loyalty and long-term value. This can be further supported by deploying predelinquency models to identify early signs of consumer stress, and to initiate recovery efforts before risk escalates,” said Hatea.

[1] FinTech consumers were those with an open FinTech long-term personal loan, short-term personal loan, or credit card. Non-FinTech consumers were a control group with no FinTech obligations of any type in their history, who held a long-term personal loan, short term personal loan or credit card from a non-FinTech lender

[2] 118,600,000 connections across 60,690,000 people https://datareportal.com/reports/digital-2024-south-africa

[3] Scores are based on TransUnion’s CreditVision® generic scoring methodology. Risk distribution key: subprime (0-625), near prime (626-655), prime (656-695), prime plus (696-720), super prime (721-999).

Read moreTransUnion Study Reveals Key Insights Into South Africa’s FinTech Borrowers as Market Poised for Growth