The two-pot retirement system is not, in itself, the greatest threat to South Africans’ retirement security. The real risk arises when people begin to view their retirement savings as an ordinary savings account rather than a long-term investment intended to provide income during retirement.
According to Thys van Zyl, Chief Executive Officer of Everest Advisory Services (Pty) Ltd (FSP 49495, CAT I), much of the debate surrounding the two-pot system has focused on the wrong issue.
“The two-pot retirement system is not necessarily the danger. It was introduced to address the practical challenge faced by many retirement fund members who previously had limited access to their retirement savings without requiring them to resign in order to unlock their pension benefits. The real risk emerges when retirement savings are viewed as an easy source of cash rather than money specifically set aside to fund retirement.”
Van Zyl says the system was designed to strike a balance between short-term financial pressure and long-term retirement planning.
“For many households, the savings component provides much-needed financial relief when unexpected expenses arise. That does not mean, however, that every withdrawal is a sound financial decision. Every time money is withdrawn, that capital potentially loses the opportunity to generate compound growth over many years.”
According to Van Zyl, the greatest risk is not a single large withdrawal, but rather a series of smaller withdrawals made over time.
“People often assume that small withdrawals make very little difference. In reality, it is these repeated withdrawals that can have a significant impact on your eventual retirement savings over several decades. Financial security is rarely destroyed by one major decision; it is more often gradually eroded by many small decisions made over the course of years.”
He says South Africa does not need to look far to understand the potential long-term consequences.
“International experience shows that while early access to retirement savings may provide short-term financial relief, it often leads to lower retirement benefits and increased pressure on public finances in the long run. During the Covid-19 pandemic, Chilean workers were allowed to withdraw substantial amounts from their pension funds to ease financial hardship. Millions depleted a significant portion of their retirement savings, future pension income declined considerably, and the government was later forced to provide greater financial support to retirees.”
Van Zyl believes the two-pot system therefore also has an important educational dimension.
“Every withdrawal should be a deliberate financial decision. People should ask themselves not only how much money they need today, but also what that withdrawal is likely to cost them over the next 10, 20 or even 30 years.”
He warns that the impact of compound growth is often underestimated.
“When you withdraw money from your retirement fund, you do not only lose that amount. You also potentially lose all the future growth that money could have generated over many years. It is this invisible cost that has the greatest impact on long-term financial security.”
Van Zyl says individuals approaching retirement age, particularly those with limited time remaining before retirement, should carefully consider the long-term impact of withdrawals.
“Many South Africans in this age group have already lost retirement savings during their working lives due to changing jobs, difficult economic circumstances or interruptions in contributions. They simply have less time to recover those losses through compound growth. Every additional withdrawal can therefore have a far greater impact on their financial security in retirement.”
According to Van Zyl, the two-pot retirement system should not be viewed as the final destination, but rather as the beginning of a broader process to further strengthen South Africa’s retirement system.
“The next phase should place greater emphasis on financial literacy, stronger incentives to preserve retirement savings, and policies that encourage people to save more for retirement over time. The objective is not to deny people access to their savings, but to ensure that short-term financial relief does not ultimately create long-term financial insecurity.”
Important Notice and Disclaimer
General Information
This press release is provided for general information and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment research, or a recommendation as defined by the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act, 2002 (FAIS Act). The content reflects the personal views and economic commentary of the author and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for making any investment or financial decisions.
Forward-Looking
This document contains forward-looking statements and projections regarding economic conditions, market performance, policy developments, and geopolitical scenarios. These statements are based on current information, analysis, and assumptions which may prove incorrect. Actual outcomes may differ materially from projections or scenarios discussed herein. No guarantee is provided regarding the accuracy of forecasts, and readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements.
Author’s Capacity
This document represents the personal views of Thys Van Zyl in his capacity as Chief Executive Officer of Everest Advisory Services (FSP No. 49495, CAT I), which forms part of the Everest Wealth Management Group and constitutes economic commentary based on publicly available information and professional experience. It does not represent institutional investment research, formal product recommendations, or the solicitation of financial services.
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