If you want to understand the next decade, do not start with summit communiqués. Start with the places where power is stress-tested.
The Munich Security Conference (MSC) has become one of those places: a stage where alliances are renegotiated, red lines are signalled and the boundary between ‘security’ and ‘economy’ is deliberately erased
It produces no treaties but it shapes the operating assumptions that later become treaties, tariffs, sanctions, procurement rules and supply-chain architecture.
For readers unfamiliar with it, the MSC is not a treaty-making summit and it produces no binding…
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Ship Whip
Van der Merwe is approached by SANRAL one day who want to build a new highway through his donkey farm. Van is really concerned with how his donkeys can get from one side of the farm to the other without having to cross the highway and risk being injured or killed. He is promised that they will build bridges the highway so that his donkeys can cross under the highway. Van agrees and gives them the go-ahead.
The highway is built and a year later the same rep goes to the farm to go see how Van and his donkeys are. He eventually finds Van under one of these bridges chipping away at the roof of the tunnel with a hammer and chisel.
\”Mnr Van de Merwe, what are you doing damaging the highway bridge?\”
Bourbon Mirage
Greenland: You have two cows. They are in for a surprise.