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The South African Revenue Service (SARS) has welcomed the Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS) presented in Parliament by Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana on Wednesday. 

The MTBPS revised the February 2024 Budget net tax revenue forecast from R1.863 trillion to R1.8408 trillion.

SARS said as of 30 September 2024, it has collected gross revenue of R1 070.4 billion, yielding a net revenue of R846.2 billion and R224.3 billion in refund payments. 

The revenue performance was bolstered by stronger collections from CIT Provisional tax and lower-than-expected VAT and PIT refund payments. 

This was offset by lower-than-expected collections from Customs taxes, PAYE, and the General Fuel Levy. 

The areas that were adjusted downward are: 

• Lower-than-expected previous year salary adjustments, reducing the nominal wage bill estimate from 8.4% in the 2024 Budget to 5.5% in the MTBPS 2024. 
• Slower growth on capital projects across general government, public corporations and private sector, with gross capital formation anticipated to decline from 9.5% in the 2024 Budget to 5.2%.
• Downward revision in outlook of nominal exports from 5.2% to 3.5%, as well as nominal imports from 6.0% to 3.8%.
• At Budget 2024, a 13.8% growth in PAYE, based on the 8.4% growth in the wage bill, was assumed. PAYE collections for year-to-date (September 2024/25) amount to R340.0bn, lower than the PE by R12.0bn (3.4%) and higher than previous year by R30.8bn (10.0%).

SARS highlighted that the deficit in revenue collections was partially offset by strong collections in CIT provisional tax collections (at R150.2 billion) against an expectation of R141.4 billion, yielding a surplus of R8.8 billion, up by 2.7% or R3.9 billion from the previous year. 

The fuel levy has faced challenges this financial year due to a year-on-year decrease in fuel consumption, with 1.333 million litres less fuel used. SARS said that this decline, attributed to factors like reduced load shedding and a shift to alternative energy sources, has directly impacted the Net Fuel Levy, resulting in a 3.9% year-on-year contraction and a R7.2 billion shortfall.

Trade taxes also underperformed, as imports, which were expected to grow by 1.9%, have instead declined by 5.1% year-to-date. Total trade flows have decreased by R39.2 billion (or -2.0%) compared to the same period last year, primarily due to lower import flows of electrical machinery and vehicles.

SARS noted that Provisional Corporate Income Tax (CIT) collections reached R150.2 billion, recording a surplus of R8.8 billion (6.2%) and a year-on-year growth of R3.9 billion (2.7%), driven by the Finance, Electricity, and Manufacturing sectors. 

Collections exceeded the Budget 2024 target rate of -3.3%. However, the Mining sector continues to struggle with volatile commodity prices, particularly in Platinum Group Metals, Coal and Iron Ore, which has negatively impacted profitability and provisional payments. Additionally, the sector faces ongoing transport, logistics, and border crossing issues, leading to delays and higher export costs.

Despite having finalised ± 1.3 million more debt cases, which is almost 290% more than the previous year, SARS said its debt compliance efforts have yielded lower returns year-on-year by R9.3 billion, which equals to a 23.6% year-on-year contraction. 

SARS further recorded significant year-on-year increases in deferred payment arrangements, requests for suspension of payments, and final demands, highlighting the financial hardship taxpayers are experiencing and its impact on their ability to meet tax obligations.

“The SARS Strategic Intent will continue to focus on Voluntary Compliance, ensuring that taxpayers and traders have clarity and certainty regarding their obligations, along with the necessary tools to facilitate easy and straightforward compliance. Conversely, SARS will impose significant legal and administrative costs on taxpayers and traders who deliberately fail to meet their obligations,” the revenue service said.

SARS said that its compliance efforts continue to yield success in dealing with non-compliance in particular segments and tax products. To date, compliance revenue secured R110.1 billion, reflecting a growth of R8.1 billion (8.0%). 

The Revenue Service emphasised that it will continue to intensify its efforts to maintain visibility and reinforce compliance, with plans to invest further on compliance initiatives to close the tax gap by targeting various taxpayer segments. 

SARS Commissioner Edward Kieswetter said that in pursuing the attainment of the 2024/25 tax revenue estimate of R1 840.8 billion, SARS will be unrelenting in its drive to engender voluntary compliance. 

“Critical in this pursuit is to ensure that intermediaries charged by law to collect taxes on behalf of SARS pay it over. Importantly, SARS is ready to act against those who willfully and defiantly ignore their legal obligations by misrepresenting their true economic status. Those who enable this conduct are equally culpable. 

“Taxpayers who abdicate their legal obligations place a disproportionate burden on honest taxpayers. Taxes play a critical role in cushioning the most vulnerable and destitute in our society. In this respect, voluntary compliance is sacrosanct,” Kieswetter said.   

The Commissioner further emphasized that SARS will continue to intensify and deepen its existing administrative efforts. 

“We will continue to use sophisticated data science and artificial intelligence, to maintain the balance between service to taxpayers/traders, whilst managing risks to the fiscus by detecting dishonest taxpayers,” he said. 

SARS will deploy more data science and artificial intelligence (AI) to step up its focus on the following areas of compliance risk:

• Broadening the tax base via third-party data sources: Leveraging data from both formal and informal sectors to widen the tax base.  
• Work to register all taxpayers and traders, through predictive modelling, who ought to be on the register and ensure that they honestly file their declarations and pay their dues where necessary. 
• Build its detection capability using machine learning models and Artificial Intelligence (AI) to significantly improve service and offer a seamless service to honest taxpayers. This will also be used to detect dishonest taxpayers, improve debt collection while expanding the tax base and deal with tax avoidance.
• Enforcing trade laws against the illicit economy (Customs and Excise): Strengthening tools to detect and prevent illicit activities, including those related to tobacco, fuel, and illicit financial flows.
• Focusing on dispute prevention and resolution: Prioritising products and strategies that prevent disputes that can be resolved.

“SARS is the nation’s treasure; a well-functioning tax and customs administration is a cornerstone to our vibrant democracy and should never be taken for granted. SARS seeks to ensure revenue sustainability by securing appropriate investment in SARS, and funding certainty. 

“From a human capital perspective, SARS will continue to attract, develop and sustain a workforce that is future ready. We will be building the leadership bench strength of SARS and protect the autonomy of the institution,” the tax revenue said. 

Despite the tough operating environment, SARS said it expects that the start of a cycle of interest rate cuts will spur consumption expenditure. This expansion is expected to drive economic growth and widen the tax base, resulting in buoyant corporate tax, and VAT revenues. 

Additionally, the introduction of the “Two-Pot” system is expected to increase the tax base in the short to medium term. 

“The 12 821 SARS staff, to whom we express sincere appreciation, will continue to work diligently in achieving the revised revenue estimate as presented by the Minister of Finance,” SARS said. – SAnews.gov.za